The tyranny of statistical determinism

Among the myths circulating amidst the ether of modern American discourse is the stubborn fallacy that political forecasts and models are deterministic. Regardless of whether a poll measures support for presidential candidates in the hopes of predicting the outcome of an election or gauges the public’s attitude towards hot-button issues before Congress, the media and political scientists like to cite these numbers as Absolute Facts. Viewed this way, they influence everything from how politicians lobby…

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